Winfried Schröder,
Gunther Schmidt
Springer International Publishing
2014e druk, 2014
9783319038223
Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
Specificaties
Paperback, 58 blz.
|
Engels
Springer International Publishing |
2014e druk, 2014
ISBN13: 9783319038223
Rubricering
Onderdeel van serie
SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
Levertijd ongeveer 9 werkdagen
Gratis verzonden
Samenvatting
This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
Specificaties
ISBN13:9783319038223
Taal:Engels
Bindwijze:paperback
Aantal pagina's:58
Uitgever:Springer International Publishing
Druk:2014
Inhoudsopgave
1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.